Ohio State at Penn State

Ohio State's offense is No. 1 in scoring (49.6 points per game) and fourth in total yards (517.4) behind QB C.J. Stroud (28 TDs, 4 INTs). The defense has been outstanding, too, second in total yards surrendered, third in pass defense, eighth in rush defense, and fifth in points allowed (14.8 pg). The Buckeyes are 37-17 ATS on natural grass, 19-9 ATS in Big 10 action, plus 20-8-1 ATS after a victory of 20+ points. Penn State scored 45 last week on Minnesota but remember in the previous two games the offense scored just 17 points in a win over Northwestern and a blowout loss to Michigan (41-17). The matchup that works against them for this showdown is pass defense, ranked No. 79 in passing yards allowed (232.9 per game). Penn State is 9-30 ATS against teams that allow 4.25 yards or less per play, as well as 25-45 ATS versus defenses that allow 4.5 or fewer yards per play. And college football home dogs of 10.5 to 21 points like the Nittany Lions are 42-86 ATS after a spread cover. Play Ohio State.