This pick was released to clients on August 21, 2012 at 5:15PM ET.
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Ohio State at Michigan

November 19, 2005
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This game has been unreal the last few years, in that whomever is not supposed to win this game or has the least on the line, always wins the game. That should happen here once again as the Wolverines are at home, which has been huge in this series. Michigan is 5-1 SU in the last six played in the Big House. This Ohio State team is talented but they are also overrated and have been very undisciplined at times this year. Road favorites at 80%+ SU on the season coming off 5+ consecutive straight up wins are just 20-50 over the past ten seasons when facing a good team (60% to 80% SU) Also, home teams off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival facing an opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 29-7 STRAIGHT-UP over the last 5 seasons. One star on the Wolverines.

1 unit on Michigan +3 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
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