This pick was released to clients on December 13, 2018 at 3:13PM ET.
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Ohio vs. San Diego State

December 19, 2018
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Ohio and San Diego State have had completely different years. Ohio started off 3-3 and finished 5-1, while San Diego State started 6-1 and finished 1-4. The Aztecs finished the season on a 1-6 ATS run which is actually positive for a Bowl team. What they do best is stop the run, allowing just 2.7 yards per attempt, and the running game is a huge part of the Bobcats' offense as they have generated 261 yards per game on the ground. I don't think they will be able to move the ball on the ground in this one. The Aztecs are rarely beaten badly, and while they lost four of their last five it was by a combined 17 points. San Diego State has an unusual profile, having gone 0-9 ATS in their last nine as a favorite, but 8-1 ATS in their last nine as a dog. They have also won seven of those nine as a dog straight-up. The MAC Conference is just 33-60 SU and 33-48-2 ATS in Bowl games. Play San Diego State on the moneyline for my December Bowl Game of the Year!

2 units on San Diego State +140 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 4.8)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Ohio Bobcats img
3
14
3
7
27
San Diego State Aztecs
0
0
0
0
0
consensus consensus
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