Ohio at Buffalo

Buffalo's banged-up offense has averaged 17 points over the last three games. That included a 24-14 loss at home to Bowling Green as a favorite. Ohio had no trouble against Bowling Green, winning 38-7 on the road. Ohio has a winning conference record, just one game behind Miami of Ohio for first place in the MAC East. Ohio has the top defense in the MAC in points (15.7 per game allowed) and total yards allowed, and is 9-2 ATS against pass defenses that allow 58% completions or higher. Buffalo's defense is ninth in the 12-team conference in points given up (29.1 per game), plus 10th in total yards allowed. Buffalo is 1-8 ATS after a MAC loss and 3-15 ATS versus teams that control the ball for 32+ minutes and 21+ first downs per game. Ohio whipped Buffalo a year ago, 45-24, as an underdog with the edge in yards of 474-260, including in rushing yards 157-22. Play Ohio.