Ohio at Bowling Green

This is a key game in the MAC for both teams. A loss to Ohio loss would mean that Bowling Green would need to upset West Division favorite Toledo in a couple of weeks in order to get to the MAC Championship Game. Otherwise, Ohio is likely to finish the year with the same number of conference losses and get into the title game via the head-to-head tiebreaker. Important games this time of the year can mean all-out defense and Ohio is 11-4-1 UNDER the total against a winning team, as well as 9-3 UNDER in MAC games. Unfortunately the Bobcats aren't winning or covering, scoring 17 and 14 points the last two games (one at home) going 0-2 ATS against Western Michigan and Buffalo -- as a favorite each time! The Bobcats are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine road games and 17-36-1 after scoring fewer than 20 points in their previous game. They face a talented Bowling Green team (4-0 in the MAC) with their only losses on the year at #25 Tennessee and to amazing Memphis, a 44-41 thriller. QB Matt Johnson passed for five touchdowns for the third consecutive game as Bowling Green shut out Kent State 48-0 on Saturday. Bowling Green is the MAC's top offensive team and dominated the Golden Flashes, who came in as the conference's total defense leader, rolling up 602 yards and 31 first downs. The Falcons are 20-8-1 ATS in November while the Bobcats are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Bowling Green is also 29-14 UNDER the total in MAC contests and the last four meetings between these rivals have all gone UNDER. Take Bowling Green and the UNDER.