This pick was released to clients on January 07, 2025 at 1:14PM ET.
img CFB

Notre Dame at Penn State

January 9, 2025
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Notre Dame is on an incredible 10-0 ATS run after beating Georgia 23-10, and the Fighting Irish were more dominant than the score indicates. Riley Leonard passed for a touchdown, Jayden Harrison returned a kickoff 98 yards for a TD, and the Bulldogs were held to 62 yards rushing on 29 carries. Leonard also ran fo 80 yards on 14 carries. Notre Dame is #6 in the country allowing 295.4 yards per game, and it is #4 in pass defense yielding 167.4 yards per game. The Irish average 406.6 total yards of offense and 37.7 points per contest. They are 5-0 ATS their past five bowl games as favorites and Penn State is 0-5 ATS its past five games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 points. It's been well-documented how James Franklin's Penn State teams have been unable to win the biggest games against teams such as Ohio State and Michigan. The Nittany Lions also came up short in the Big Ten Championship game, losing 45-37 to Oregon, which was manhandled by the Buckeyes. The Nittany Lions do come off a 31-14 win over Boise State as they were successful on the one thing on which they had to concentrate and that was to contain Ashton Jeanty, who ran for 104 yards on 30 carries. Drew Allar threw for 171 yards and three TDs for Penn State, which has lost six of its past seven January games, and it is 1-7 ATS its past eight as an underdog overall. Take Notre Dame.

1.5 units on Notre Dame -1 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Notre Dame Fighting Irish img
0
3
7
17
27
Penn State Nittany Lions
0
10
0
14
24
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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