Looking back at the opener for Northwestern at Cal, it was considered a huge upset for the Bears as Northwestern was supposed to be a highly competitive team this year, while Cal had a long way to go. Then Northwestern went on to lose their next game at home to a graduation depleted Northern Illinois team, and it was time to rethink the Cal upset. Last week Northwestern was out gained by almost 100 yards at home vs. Western Illinois in a 24-7 win as Western Illinois turned the ball over four times to keep themselves from being competitive, but still allowed only 24 points. When you consider that Cal has allowed 33 points or more in each of their last 11 conference games and 49.6 points per game on average, the 31 Northwestern posted in that one screams trouble. Penn State has made a quick recovery from the scandal, and are off to a 4-0 start. They have allowed just 11 points per game, and Northwestern's offense will struggle in this one. The "Mildcats" have been pointspread losers in 12 of their last 13 games, 0-9 ATS on grass. All Penn State in this one.
This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2014 at 3:44PM ET.
CFB
Northwestern at Penn State
September 27, 2014
12:00 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Penn State -9.5 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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