Northwestern at Michigan State

Northwestern has won three of the last four meetings outright, including last year's overtime thriller. The Wildcats come off a heartbreaking 20-17 loss to Michigan in which they led 17-0, but couldn't score again. The game went UNDER by nearly 10 points. Clayton Thorson went 16-of-27 for 174 yards for Northwestern, which couldn't establish much on the ground. It was the defense that kept the game close and that will have to be the case again this week as Michigan State leads the nation in rushing defense. The Spartans' toughest opponent this season was at Arizona State and they lost 16-13 with only 63 rushing yards on 2.3 yards per carry. MSU defeated Central Michigan 31-20 on Saturday after jumping out to a 31-3 lead.  Brian Lewerke finished 16-of-25 for 185 yards with no touchdowns and an interception for the Spartans. Northwestern has covered the spread seven times in a row at East Lansing and the road team is 12-2 ATS the last 14 meetings. The Wildcats have covered their last five road contests overall. Also, the UNDER is 31-15 in Northwestern's last 46 games versus teams with winning records. Grab the points with Northwestern and also play the UNDER.