Northwestern at Indiana

Northwestern isn't going to a Bowl game but the defense has been strong all season despite a brutal schedule. Take out the blowout loss to Ohio State and the Wildcats have allowed 31, 17, 14, 13, 24 and 20 points in their other games. Northwestern is on a 21-7 spread run on the road, plus 21-8 ATS when following a double-digit loss at home. They are also on a 15-6-1 ATS run in Big 10 play and 12-3 ATS on FieldTurf. Indiana is a big favorite but soft on defense allowing an average of 25.3 points and ranked #51 in rush defense surrendering 152.7 yards per game. Indiana is 4-11 ATS after a spread cover, plus 3-10 ATS after allowing 200+ yards rushing in their previous game. When they last met it was a 24-14 Northwestern victory and this shapes up as another close one. Take Northwestern.