Northern Illinois at Toledo

Northern Illinois has lost eight of its last 11 games and has to head out on the road. QB Rocky Lombardi has as many interceptions (5) as TD passes this season and top running back Harrison Waylee (574 yards) may not play because of an injury. The Northern Illinois defense ranks #99 in yards allowed, #111 against the run (199.6 yards allowed on the ground per game). It's homecoming weekend for Toledo with a terrific defense giving up 19 total points the last two games. This is the team that lost in Week 2 at Notre Dame, 32-29, as a +16 dog. Toledo is 28-13 ATS after a victory by 28+ points, as well as 20-6 ATS at home following a win by 21+ points. Toledo ripped Northern Illinois last year, 41-24, and holds all the cards for another one-sided win. Play Toledo.