Northern Illinois at Toledo

This has been a series of domination in recent history as Toledo is a perfect 6-0 ATS and 9-0 SU against NIU. Toledo looks like the best team in the MAC this year and should continue their domination tonight. These teams have played three common opponents in Ball State, Central Michigan and E Michigan. Not much to gain from analyzing those games as they both went 2-1 SU vs. those foes. Toledo went 1-2 ATS while 0-2-1. This is Toledo's game to lose and considering the history of this series, I see no reason at all why Toledo does not win by ten-plus here. Home teams off a game in which they gained 475 or more total yards now facing an opponent off a game in which they gained 6.75 or more yards/play are 121-68 (64%) since 1992. Toledo is 15-3 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992 and 11-2 ATS at home over the last 3 seasons. Toledo is scoring 46 points per game at home this season on way to a 4-0 record. Three stars on the Rockets minus the points.