Northern Illinois at Florida State

Florida State lost their long term coach, and Willie Taggert has taken over. Through three games Taggert is 1-2, and has yet to record a win vs. an FBS team. They were challenged significantly as a 31-point favorite vs. Samford in a game they won by just 10 points. The Bulldogs out-gained them, and the Seminoles gave up over 500 yards. They couldn't do anything vs. Virginia Tech - failing to get into the end-zone. Last week were beaten by Syracuse using a back-up QB, but worst of all they managed just seven points. They are now scoring five points per game vs. the FBS. Northern Illinois is offensively challenged, but they have already gone against Utah and Iowa, and are allowing just 22 ppg. I don't see the Florida State offense with any kind of an edge here, and a double-digit line offers some pretty good value on the dog. Play the points on Northern Illinois.