Here we have a Conference USA showdown between the top two teams, both 3-0, and a sky-high total. North Texas heads out on the road after a two-game home stand and is on a 19-9 run UNDER the total on the road, as well as 23-5 UNDER after two or more straight victories. They're also 25-9 UNDER after a win by 10+ points in conference play. Texas-San Antonio comes off of a 30-10 win at Florida International. The defense is tied with North Texas for the fourth-fewest points allowed in Conference USA. Texas-San Antonio is 26-13 UNDER the total in October tilts, plus they've gone seven straight games UNDER the total at home off a road win. The Mean Green's last three games have seen 78, 73, and 74 points scored. Teams who have put up 70+ total points in three-straight games have gone UNDER the total at a 75% clip the past ten seasons. With first place at stake, look for both defenses to play their best games. Go contrarian and take North Texas/Texas-San Antonio UNDER the total as a Max Play and my October Game of the Month.
This pick was released to clients on October 19, 2023 at 9:34AM ET.
CFB
North Texas at Texas-San Antonio
October 22, 2022
3:30 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 72.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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