This pick was released to clients on October 05, 2023 at 6:43AM ET.
img CFB

North Texas at Navy

October 7, 2023
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Navy is trying to incorporate a bit more of a passing attack, but they are still running the triple-option which has been a staple of Military Academies for many years. The running shortens games and limits the number of plays run in a given game, so you don't see totals getting up to 60 and beyond very frequently. Since the start of the 2017 season, the Navy has played to a total of 60 or more points just 12 times in the 6+ years. They have played to an 8-3-1 record to the under in the 12 games. North Texas is 4-0 ATS to the over in their four games and those games have averaged nearly 80 total points per contest. While that seems like a no-brainer to play the OVER, there have been 99 teams that started 4-0 to the OVER, and in their fifth game, they played to a 40-55-4 mark to the UNDER. The Navy changes the game and history shows up here as well. Make the play on the UNDER.

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 61.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
North Texas Mean Green
3
7
0
14
24
Navy Midshipmen img
0
13
7
7
27
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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