North Texas at Arkansas State

It's been a very disappointing year for Arkansas State, a team that was supposed to contend with Troy for the Sun Belt Championship. They played Troy early and lost a heartbreaker by three points then went to Iowa and almost pulled the upset before losing by 3 points. I think those two losses really took the steam out of this team. They definitely are better than they have shown, and I have a feeling that they take out those frustrations in this their finale at home. North Texas has also had a bad year, but there is one big difference between these teams. The Mean Green are a legitimate bad team. Their only two wins came vs. Western Kentucky who has yet to win a FBS game in two years, and Ball State who was winless for most of the season. Arkansas State is the better team, and in their home finale I expect one big effort which we haven't seen from this team since Iowa. I like Arkansas State to roll here.