North Carolina at Wake Forest

This is a tough line to figure out as the North Carolina Tar heels are 8-1 losing only to Notre Dame who just beat Clemson. They have been posted as an underdog just two times this season and won both straight up. Wake Forest has lost two straight games and in those games, they have combined to commit 11 turnovers. This should be an explosive game with each team putting up a lot of points and turnovers are going to matter. While Wake Forest has turned the ball over 11 times in their last two, the Heels have played two clean games without turning the ball over. I think the wrong team is favored here. A dog with eight wins facing a team with fewer than eight wins cover 65% of the time, winning 43% of those games. Make the play on North Carolina on the moneyline.