This pick was released to clients on December 01, 2022 at 2:53PM ET.
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North Carolina at NC State

November 30, 2019
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

North Carolina needs a win to avoid a losing season and go to Bowl game. All of North Carolina's losses have been by a touchdown or less. That includes a 21-20 loss to defending champion Clemson as a +27 underdog. QB Sam Howell has put together one of the best rookie seasons in league history with 2,946 yards passing, 32 touchdowns, to rank No. 1 in the ACC. That touchdown total is fifth in FBS. He has a pair of dazzling receivers in Dazz Newsome (817 yards) and sophomore Dyami Brown (797 yards). The Tar Heels are 19-7 ATS after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game, plus 10-4 ATS after getting less than 170 yards passing the last game. They face an NC State squad with a losing record that won't be bowling. NC State's secondary is awful, #80 in pass defense, while the offense is averaging just 14.8 points the last eight contests. NC State is 10-4 UNDER the total against losing teams and North Carolina is 8-3 ATS in this stadium. Play North Carolina and also the UNDER.

1 unit on North Carolina -9.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 56 -107 (risk 1.5 to return 2.9)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
North Carolina Tar Heels img
0
6
28
7
41
NC State Wolfpack
3
7
0
0
10
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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