North Carolina at Boston College

North Carolina started the season with their first three significant games vs. Connecticut, Virginia and Georgia Tech scoring a total of 22 points. The defense was equally stout, and ranked in the top 10. But things have changed. The offense has made great strides while the defense has cracked a bit, and the Heels have scored 19+ in each of their last five games. The Eagles have struggled on the road, but at home they have produced no less than 27 points in each of their six games. They are averaging 37.7 points per game here! I'm surprised to see this number at this stage of the season as both offenses have stepped up. North Carolina allowed 30 to Florida State and 24 to both Georgia Tech and Miami. Their excellent defensive stats are propped up by games against The Citadel, Duke, Virginia and Georgia Southern. Their defense just isn't as good as the averages suggest. The Heels are 6-2 to the OVER in their last eight posted as a dog, while Boston College is 13-6 to the OVER in their last 19 as a home favorite. Last season these teams played toa 69 point game. I like this one to go OVER the total.