New Mexico State at Idaho

I can't recall ever seeing a FBS team that is winless through five games posted as a double-digit favorite vs. another FBS team. But that is the case with Idaho this week. The Vandals lost for the fifth straight time this year last week when they were humiliated by North Carolina 66-0. That certainly can't work well on their psyche coming into this one. These teams often play games that go to the wire with 10 of the last 18 meetings being decided by 7 points or less. Remember that New Mexico State was on the good side of last year's 7-point margin, winning 31-24. The Aggies have the best weapon on the field in Austin Franklin. Franklin has been on the receiving end of 33 catches, good for 627 yards and 7 TDs, ranking #3 in the country in reception yards. The Vandals are favored here by almost more than they score on the season, as the offense has generated just 13.4 points per game. Opponents have already been in the red zone 29 times, and with Franklin on the field New Mexico State should put up enough points for a close game. Idaho plays down to their competition having gone just 15-30 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite including 4-12 under head coach Robb Akey. They are also 25-42 ATS in their last 67 games vs. losing teams. In their last 17 home games vs. teams that allow 31+ ppg, the Vandals are 3-14 ATS. Meanwhile, under DeWayne Walker, the Aggies are just the opposite, finding a way vs. bad teams. Under Walker, New Mexico State is 9-1 ATS vs. teams at .250 or worse adn 10-2 ATS vs. teams that allow 31+ points per game. Take the points on New Mexico State.