New Mexico State at Arkansas State

Football hasn't been the strong suit at New Mexico State in recent memory. That can be summed up by the Aggies' 86-234 record over their last 320 games. They have not benefitted from the oddsmakers either as they are an CFB worst 118-156-5 ATS over the period. The road has been even worse as the Aggies are 32-139 straight-up and a woeful 60-91-4 ATS, covering less than 40% of the time. Put them in an unwinnable position as greater than a +20 point dog and they are 1-57 SU and 19-38-1 ATS, covering just one of every three games. This should be an easy one for Arkansas State who has been strong at home, and their 6-5 Bowl resume would be enhanced at 7-5, and a big win for some style points if needed. It's hard to buck the numbers in this one, which are just plain ugly for the Aggies. Lay the points on Arkansas State.