This pick was released to clients on August 31, 2023 at 10:59AM ET.
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New Mexico State at Arizona State

August 31, 2017
img10:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

New Mexico State isn't getting any better, with a pair of 2-10 and 3-9 campaigns the last four years. They get to open the season at the Pac 12! The Aggies are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games. They face an Arizona State squad that is in bounce-back mode after a disappointing 5-7 campaign, missing out on a Bowl game for the first time in five seasons under Todd Graham. Arizona State has a boatload of offensive talent and this New Mexico State squad is 33-65 ATS on the road when they allow 28+ points. Graham runs a spread, no-huddle attack and QB Manny Wilkins is surrounded by talented options in senior running backs Demario Richard and Kalen Ballage, while sophomore wide receiver N'Keal Harry (659 yards) broke the school record for receptions (58) by a freshman. Home favorites of 21.5+ points with an experienced QB returning as starter in the first month of the season against teams that allowed 6.1 yards or more per play the previous year are 32-9 ATS. And the Sun Devil defense will be better as Graham is turning the reigns over to incoming veteran coordinator Phil Bennett. Arizona State is on an 8-1 ATS run at home, plus 11-2 UNDER the total as home chalk of 21.5+ points. Take Arizona State and the UNDER. 

1 unit on Arizona State -22 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 70.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New Mexico State Aggies
0
13
0
18
31
Arizona State Sun Devils img
14
0
16
7
37
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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