This pick was released to clients on November 12, 2014 at 4:26PM ET.
img CFB

New Mexico at Utah State

November 15, 2014
img4:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The New Mexico Aggies played perhaps their best game in years last week against Boise State. They scored 49 points and ran the ball for 505 yards, and had 627 total yards of offense. The problem is they allowed 60 points and 674 yards of offense. A bigger problem is they will have a letdown after that game, they are on the road, and are facing a much better defense. The Lobos are 4-32 in their last 36 road games as a dog, and in just 12 of them did they lose by less than 18 points, which is what they face in this one. The Aggies are 23-4 as a home favorite in their last 27, and the Lobos have met their match after scoring 40+ in their previous game as they are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 after doing so, as well as 8-20 ATS in their last 28 after allowing 40+. The Aggies are a momentum team that has gone 18-6 ATS in their last 24 following a win, and will breeze past the Lobos here. All Utah State in this one.

1.5 units on Utah State -19.5 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New Mexico Lobos
7
7
0
7
21
Utah State Aggies img
7
14
7
0
28
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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