This pick was released to clients on October 19, 2023 at 9:34AM ET.
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Nevada at Utah State

October 19, 2019
img10:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Utah State stepped up in class and lost 42-6 to LSU in a game that went UNDER by 24.5 points, but now the Aggies are back to Mountain West Conference action and are big favorites against Nevada. Utah State has gone UNDER its last three games and six of its last eight dating to last season and it managed only 168 total yards of offense against the Tigers. However, now after having a bye week the Aggies go up against a Wolf Pack defense that is #88 in the country in yards allowed and #120 in passing yards allowed. Also, the Wolf Pack is scoring only 23.3 points per game and is #97 in yards gained. Nevada already has suffered blowout losses to Oregon (77-6) and Hawaii (54-3) although it did beat San Jose State last week. Jordan Love leads the Aggies with a 62.5 percent completion rate and six touchdown passes and Jaylen Warren and Gerold Bright combine for 654 rushing yards on 5.5 yards per carry. Utah State is 7-1 ATS its last eight home games and the Wolf Pack is 1-4 ATS the last five meetings on the road. The Aggies have gone UNDER their last four conference games and the UNDER is 12-5 in Nevada's last 17 October games and the Wolf Pack has stayed UNDER nine of its last 11 after scoring at least 40 its previous game. Play Utah State as a Max Play and the UNDER.

2 units on Utah State -20.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 60 -122 (risk 1 to return 1.82)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Nevada Wolf Pack
3
0
0
7
10
Utah State Aggies img
9
13
0
14
36
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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