This pick was released to clients on October 05, 2023 at 6:43AM ET.
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Nebraska at Illinois

October 6, 2023
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Illinois is 0-6 ATS dating to last season after it was pummeled 44-19 by Purdue on Saturday as a one-point favorite. The Fighting Illini were plagued by penalties (nine), turnovers and mental mistakes, which is unlike a Bret Bielema-coached team. Illinois' only wins were against Toledo and Florida Atlantic and QB Luke Altmyer, who transferred from Mississippi, has thrown more interceptions than TD passes with a QB rating of 50.0. The Illini lost four of their final five games in 2022 after enjoying a relatively easy schedule in the early going. Nebraska has managed to get two wins in coach Matt Ruhle's first year as coach, but the Cornhuskers now have to bounce back from a 45-7 loss to Michigan. The game did not stay UNDER due to the Wolverines' dominance, but Nebraska still is 7-3 UNDER its past 10 games and 6-0 UNDER after allowing at least 40 points its previous game. Also, Illinois is 6-0-1 UNDER after yielding more than 40 points. The Fighting Illini is 0-6 ATS its past six home games and the Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS following a double-digit home loss. Take Nebraska and the UNDER.

1 unit on Nebraska +3.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 43.5 -115 (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Nebraska Cornhuskers img
3
14
3
0
20
Illinois Fighting Illini
0
7
0
0
7
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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