Nebraska at Colorado

Colorado's had an up-and down season. They put together back-to-back stinkers early in the year to Arizona State and Florida State but then turned around and beat Miami Ohio by 42 and shocked Oklahoma. They have lost four of their last five games, allowing 35.6 points per game. Nebraska has also had an up-and-down season, starting 4-1 and then losing five in a row before beating Kansas State 73-31 last week. So, these teams aren't that different. The thing that scares us about backing the team laying points here is that they are scoring just 24 points per game on the year (19.8 at home) while giving up 27.5 per game at home and over 37 per game in their last three games. This defense is bad and getting worse. And, the offense, under a freshman QB, doesn't have the firepower to put up a lot. Nebraska's defense is also bad but they have some momentum. Teams allowing 35+ points per game coming off a 21+ point win are 34-8 ATS the past ten seasons. And the Buffs are 0-8 ATS when coming off a road game under Dan Hawkins. We think Nebraska has at least an equal shot at winning this game so we'll back them with the points cushion.