NC State at Wake Forest

NC State has only two losses, 31-30 to Miami and 24-10 in September to Mississippi State. This is only the second time all season they've been an underdog, beating Clemson, 27-21, as a +10 dog. QB Devin Leary (25 TDs, 3 INTs) has been outstanding, as has the defense ranked #10 in the nation in points (17.1 pg), #19 in total yards. NC State is 22-6 ATS after getting 100 or fewer rushing yards in two straight games. The Wake Forest defense has been weak the last two months despite that 8-0 start allowing 34, 37, and 56 points in three close wins. That defense finally broke their unbeaten run giving up 546 yards and 58 points to North Carolina. The Tar Heels ran for 330 yards, 6.3 yards per carry as they went 8-of-16 on third down. You don't find many teams 8-1 on the season ranking #105 in total defense, #78 in points allowed (29.1 pg), but Wake Forest is. NC State won last year's meeting scoring 45 points with 463 yards, including 270 rush yards (5.5 yards per carry), and has a better defense this season. Play NC State.