NC State at Virginia

The Virginia Cavaliers have played five of their six games under the total. The Cavs returned 10 on the defensive side of the ball to start the season and the defense has been a good part of the reason they have already matched last season's win total at four. NC State took a hit when QB Russell Wilson transferred to Wisconsin. The Wolfpack have put up 35 or more points in four games but they have faced five poor defenses. Versus the one good defense they have seen (Cincinnati ranked #28), NC State rushed for -14 yards and Mike Glennon threw two INT's and the Wolfpack scored just 14 points. NC State scored on an 87 yard and 49 yard pass plays, so basically they did not sustain a drive the entire game. Virginia ranks #21 on defense and I expect the Wolfpack to struggle again on offense. Virginia has gone 34-15-3 to the UNDER in their last 52 conference games and overall they are 20-7 to the UNDER in their last 27 as a home favorite. Look for a low-scoring game here.