This pick was released to clients on September 10, 2014 at 6:44PM ET.
img CFB

Navy at Texas State

September 13, 2014
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Texas State is far under the radar, but they have a decent team put together by a legitimate coach in Dennis Franchione. Franchione will be well prepared against the Navy triple option. He has fced it five times in his coaching career with great success, posting a 4-1 ATS margin vs. the Military Academies who all employ it or a version of it. Franchione has also been the better coach as a dog, and owns a 19-6-1 ATS mark in his last 26 in that role vs. a team off a satisfying straight-up and against the spread win. Navy has had a tough schedule to open the season as they opened on a neutral field, and are now traveling for the second straight time since then. No team has ever won in game three when opening on a neutral field and playing on the road in game two, and are on the road again. Play on Texas State.

1 unit on Texas State +10 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Navy Midshipmen img
14
14
0
7
35
Texas State Bobcats
0
7
0
14
21
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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