Navy at South Florida

Undervalued Navy is in the Top 25 and playing great for coach Ken Niumatalolo, covering every game but one. They come off a 42-28 win over Memphis as -1.5 favorites and the Midshipmen are 18-7-1 ATS when following a spread cover, plus 13-3 ATS after scoring more than 40 points. Navy's triple-option attack is fourth in the country, averaging 293.2 yards rushing. Navy ranks first in the country in least penalty yards per contest (19.33), while South Florida ranks #82 (60.4). Navy is also 20-7 UNDER the total on natural grass as the ground game chews up yards and the clock. South Florida is home but doesn't play much defense, ranked #103 in the nation in total defense and #100 against the run. The Bulls' defense is licking its wounds after giving up 319 yards on the ground in a 46-30 loss to Temple last week as -6.5-point chalk. South Florida is 18-7-1 UNDER the total after a defeat, plus 15-5-1 UNDER after a spread loss. Grab the visitors in a game with less scoring than oddsmakers anticipate. Take Navy and the UNDER.