This pick was released to clients on August 24, 2012 at 12:37PM ET.
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Navy at New Mexico

December 30, 2004
img4:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Navy has had a great season, and one result in particular will give us some insight into how this game might transpire. Back on October 9th, New Mexico played Air Force, a team that is very similar to Navy in all facets. The Lobos lost the game outright. In that game, Air Force was able to pound out 190 yards on the ground and 233 in the air. This could spell trouble for New Mexico which prides itself on its defense. If Navy is able to run the football with success and draw up UNM's linebackers, it will open up Navy's play action passing attack. This will enable Navy to reach the ten win plateau for the first time since 1905. The Midshipmen are 29-10 ATS after out-rushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game since 1992. They also finish very strong as they are 41-22 ATS in the second half of the season since 1992. I'll side with the Midshipmen here for two stars.

2 units on Navy +2 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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