Navy at Memphis

Navy has another speedy ground attack, averaging 219 yards rushing behind option QB Tai Lavatai and fullbacks Isaac Ruoss (233 yards) and James Harris II (214 yards). The Midshipmen have scored 34 and 24 points the last two weeks against Central Florida and then-No. 24 ranked SMU. They covered three straight close games as a double-digit dog each time, losing 31-24 to SMU, 28-20 at Houston as a +20 dog, and a 34-30 upset of UCF as a +15.5 underdog. Navy is 22-8 ATS after getting less than 275 total yards in the last game, plus 27-11 ATS on the road against teams that allow 31 points per game. Memphis is a big favorite, but it has lost three in a row, twice as chalk of -3 and -11. They're winless in AAC action and are allowing an average of 35.8 points the last five games. Memphis is 2-9 ATS when playing with six or fewer days of rest, and Navy is 26-16 ATS as a road underdog. Play Navy.