Navy at Memphis

This game features a pair of teams with offenses that are clicking, hence this high total. However, road teams such as Navy that average over 6.2 yards per play after allowing 475+ yards in their previous game are 36-12 UNDER the total against a team that allows between 5.6 to 6.2 yards per play when the total is over 63. Navy is tops in the nation in rushing, which chews up yards and the clock. The Midshipmen are 35-16 UNDER the total after a spread loss, plus 13-3 UNDER after allowing 40+ points in their previous game. Navy has held Memphis to 28 and 20 points the last two years, including running the football 66 times two years ago on this field with a time of possession edge of 37-23. Last year it was a 40-20 edge in time, rushing 74 times. Memphis is home after playing three straight on the road, and is 15-4 UNDER after allowing 450+ total yards in back-to-back contests. Play the UNDER.