Navy at Hawaii

Hawaii has won three straight which keeps this line down. But, wins over San Jose State, New Mexico State and Utah State don't equate tell us a whole lot about what they will do vs. Navy. Those three teams are in the bottom three in the WAC and are a combined 7-25 on the season. The Warriors have also beaten Central Arkansas, a non-FBS team, and a 1-10 Washington State team. Maybe the books and the bettors are thinking about how teams come to Hawaii and forget about football. But, this is a Navy team that is disciplined, and will not lose focus like many other teams that come to the Big Island. Navy takes care of business vs. bad teams as they are 47-22 ATS vs. losing teams over the past 15 years. Over that same span they are 15-4 ATS on the road vs. teams that can't stop the pass (those allowing 62%+ completion percentage). They are also 40-19 ATS on the road off a win! This Hawaii team lost at home to Boise State by 45 points and Fresno State by 25! They can't stop the ground game, giving up almost five yards per carry and close to 200 yards per game. Seeing this type of offense for the first time will make matters even worse. Navy gets this one big.