Navy at East Carolina

Navy chews up yards and the clock with its ground game, fourth in the country rushing for 309.6 yards per contest. The Midshipmen are 21-8 UNDER the total on natural grass, plus 20-8 UNDER against a losing team. Navy can clinch the American Athletic Conference's West Division and a spot in the league title game with a win at East Carolina. Navy won last week but failed to cover and they are 34-13 UNDER when following a spread loss. East Carolina's offense has been erratic, going UNDER in four of the last five games. The Pirates are 10-2 UNDER in conference games, plus 7-3 UNDER the total following a straight-up loss, and this total is too high. Play the UNDER.