Navy at Colorado State

On paper, CSU has the better athletes, and runs the sexier offense. But as we know, never underestimate the men they call Midshipmen. Navy can flat out run the football and will here, as CSU has had their fare share of problems stopping the run this season. Navy ran for 5.6 yards per rush vs. opponents that normally held teams to 4.3. That's a monster 1.3 yards per rush difference. On the road, the Midshipmen did even better (6.2 per rush). CSU gave up 4.8 yards per rush vs. opponents that gained only 4.3 on average. Navy is going to literally run all over the Rams in this one. Navy is 10-2 ATS on the road vs. poor rushing defenses that allow >200 rushing yards/game since 1992. Navy is 28-14 ATS since the arrival of Paul Johnson as HC, and should be favored by more points here, against an average Mountain West team. Navy gets fans to bowl games and there is a large naval presence in San Diego. CSU fans are notoriously apathetic. Expect this to be a big crowd advantage for Navy. One star on Navy.