Mississippi State vs. Louisville

MUSIC CITY BOWL - We will have excellent weather in Nashville for the Music City Bowl. Mississippi State has a terrific offense behind RB Kylin Hill (5.7 yards per carry), who led the SEC in rushing with 1,347 yards. The offense scored 38, 23, 30 and 54 points in four of its five games away from home, but the defense is allowing 31.2 points the last eight games. Louisville has plenty of offensive punch, as well, averaging 32.7 points per game behind RB Javian Hawkins (5.9 yards per carry, 1,420 yards). But the defense is soft, allowing an average of 38.8 points the last nine contests! Louisville is on a 7-3 run OVER the total, plus 15-4 OVER on the road after two or more consecutive games going OVER. Mississippi State won 31-27 when these teams clashed in a bowl in 2017 and this shapes up as another offensive show. Take the OVER.