Mississippi State at Texas

The Texas Longhorns are #1 and look the part on both sides of the ball. While outside of their big win in Michigan where they dominated the Wolverines 31-12 in the Big House. Think about this: the Woverines have lost at home by 20 or more points just nine times since 1991! Mississippi St. has failed to cover all three games vs. FBS teams. The SEC is a tough conference, and even the poor teams fare well with crazy large lines. SEC Conference games with a line of -32 or more are 12-19 ATS. Texas is not going to be fully engaged here. They play their archrival Oklahoma next, followed by Georgia. I like Mississippi St. with the points in this one.