Mississippi State at Middle Tennessee State

Middle Tennessee State is no stranger to pulling off the upset over BCS Conference teams. They have already gone on the road this season and beat Maryland on the heels of beating them last year at home. Four years ago, they took down another SEC team in Vanderbilt. The Bulldogs are certainly vulnerable here as they have won just once on the road in their last nine tries! Although they still play tough at home, they have fizzled on the road. They have allowed 30+ points in four of six games this season including 40+ in two games! Middle Tennessee has already beaten Memphis in their only home game of the season. The bottom line is that this line is off because it is based on an SEC team playing a Sun Belt team. But in this case, we have a competent Sun Belt team that will be stoked at home to play an SEC team that has already proven to be a lethal combination. The Bulldogs don't wear the favorite hat well as they have dropped their last six as chalk. They are also 1-8 ATS since last season following a home game. The Blue Raiders have feasted in out-of-conference play to the tune of an 8-2 ATS mark and they add another notch to their belts here. Middle Tennessee gets the call.