This pick was released to clients on September 21, 2023 at 10:29AM ET.
img CFB

Mississippi State at Kentucky

September 22, 2018
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is Another battle of unbeaten SEC squads. Mississippi State's defense has been sensational, allowing 26 points in three games. That included a 31-10 win at Kansas State allowing 213 total yards. K-State was 3-of-12 on third down and averaged 3.1 yards per rush. Mississippi State has allowed just four combined red-zone trips, tied for sixth-best in the country. The Bulldogs are 17-8 UNDER the total following a win, plus 20-8-1 UNDER after scoring 40+ points in their previous game. Mississippi State's 'D' is seventh in the nation on third downs, allowing just 10-of-43. Their defense ranks eighth in total yards allowed, sixth in points (8.7 ppg). They face a Kentucky defense that is #28 in yards allowed (303 per game), #22 in points (15.3 ppg). That defense led the way in a 27-16 upset at rival Florida. But their two sophomore QBs have combined for five TDs and four picks. The Wildcats are 7-1 UNDER the total against winning teams, plus 10-1-1 UNDER after getting 280+ yards passing in their previous game. Play the UNDER.

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 56 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Mississippi State Bulldogs
0
7
0
0
7
Kentucky Wildcats img
0
7
7
14
28
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free CFB picks and predictions.

Join 412,089 Subscribers!