img CFB

Mississippi State at Kentucky

October 27, 2007
img12:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

One trend never fails in sports. Teams without the name or reputation get little respect. Here is the perfect example. Kentucky has certainly showed it belongs with the big boys this season. They beat LSU and lost to Florida by just 8. That being said, LSU was a 19 point favorite on the road at Mississippi State and W. Virginia was a 26 point favorite at home vs. this team. What does that say about this line? A team that has showed it is certainly on that level is asked to face a pointspread of half of those other two teams. We'll take it! There is ceratainly a lot of value here, as the Wildcats score 40+ on everyone and has shown its defense is good enough vs. teams outside the Top 25. Mississippi State has shown they can play at home, but stepping up in class on the road has been a problem. All the top teams they have faced have chewed up their defense. LSU scored 45, Tennessee 33, West Virginia 38 and SC 38. This will be the best offense of the bunch, and we would expect Kentucky to reach at least in the 40s. That will be difficult for a team that has averaged under 15 points a game vs. the top teams on its schedule. We would not be surprised to see this covered by halftime, and Kentucky to cruise into the win column, when all is said and done.

3 units on Kentucky -13.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
1
2
3
4
T
Mississippi State Bulldogs
0
0
0
0
31
Kentucky Wildcats
0
0
0
0
14
odds odds
 
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