Mississippi State at Alabama

Mississippi State went UNDER by 6.5 points in its 27-17 loss to Kentucky and now the Bulldogs get a bad break as they have to face an Alabama defense that was humiliated last week when the Crimson Tide lost 52-49 to Tennessee in an epic battle. Alabama had allowed an average of only 12.5 points its previous six games and four of them had gone UNDER. You can be sure Nick Saban will make some adjustments to prevent anything close to it happening again. Mississippi State couldn't get anything going on the ground against Kentucky gaining only 22 net rushing yards and QB Will Rogers was was 25 of 37 for 203 yards with one TD and one interception. The past four meetings have stayed UNDER, including Alabama's 49-9 rout last year and the Bulldogs have scored a total of just 16 points the past four meetings. The UNDER is 27-13 in MSU's past 40 conference games and 15-5 UNDER its past 20 October games. The UNDER is 17-4-1 the past 22 meetings and the Tide is 6-0 UNDER following a loss. Take the UNDER as a Max Play.