Mississippi State at Alabama

These teams have gone UNDER eight of the last nine meetings and the other game was a push. Alabama won last year 31-6 and it went UNDER by 14.5 points, and this game's posted total is about four points higher. The Crimson Tide has gone UNDER in four of its last six games, including its 10-0 win at LSU last week. Quarterback Jalen Hurts was only 10-of-19 for 107 yards with no touchdowns and an interception. Alabama's defense held LSU to only 33 rushing yards on 1.2 yards per carry. Alabama is also #2 in the country in total yards allowed. Mississippi State upset Texas A&M 35-28 as it held the Aggies to 382 total yards of offense, including 117 on the ground on 3.7 yards per carry. The Bulldogs have gone UNDER in four of their last five games after a win and Alabama has stayed UNDER in its last four home games. The posted total is too high again, play the UNDER.