This pick was released to clients on December 28, 2014 at 4:45PM ET.
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Mississippi vs. TCU

December 31, 2014
img12:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Ole Miss is 23-12 all-time in Bowl games and heads to the Georgia Dome with its best defense ever, tops in the nation in points allowed (13.8 points per game). They beat No. 3 Alabama (23-17) and No. 4 Mississsippi State (31-17), losing to LSU and Auburn by a total of seven points. The Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in Bowl games, plus 6-0-1 ATS in neutral site games. The Ole Miss offense is strong and balanced behind QB Bo Wallace (22 TDs, 11 INTs), and the Rebels rush for an average of 167.7 yards per contest. Wallace finished with an SEC-high 25 passes of 30 or more yards. Instead of playing on New Year's Day in the new playoff format, TCU was dopped (or jobbed) in the rankings and has to settle for the Peach Bowl. The Horned Frogs are 0-5 ATS in their last five Bowl games, as well as 0-7 ATS at neutral sites. TCU had an easier schedule and gave up 61 points in its only loss (to Baylor). They faced an SEC team a year ago and lost to LSU, 37-27, failing to cover. Ole Miss has won its first two Bowls, the Music City and BBVA Compass, under Coach Hugh Freeze and hasn't lost a postseason contest since 2000. Ole Miss is also 21-6-1 ATS in its last 28 non-conference games. Play Mississippi.

1.5 units on Mississippi +3.5 (+100) (risk 1.5 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Mississippi Rebels
0
0
0
3
3
TCU Horned Frogs img
14
14
14
0
42
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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