This pick was released to clients on August 22, 2014 at 4:49PM ET.
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Mississippi vs. Boise State

August 28, 2014
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

There is something that looks odd here. Ole Miss has not had the national spotlight on them very often, while Boise State has lived under it for over a decade. Things sure look different with Boise State coming in unranked, and Ole Miss coming in at #19. There is a lot to look forward to for Ole Miss this season. Last year they lost five games, but four of those were to the top teams in the SEC that finished with a combined record of 44-9. They managed to beat LSU, and lost in the Egg Bowl to in-state rival Mississippi State. They went on to get a big Bowl win over Georgia Tech. Ole Miss has an experienced QB in Bo Wallace, and they return some key weapons along with a deefense that was above average a year ago, and should get better with 10 starters returning. Boise State lost five games last year - the most since 1998. The Broncos start anew under new head coach Bryan Harsin. While Bise State may win a lot of games with a favorable schedule, this is not a good spot for them here. The Rebels are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 outside the conference, and will be up to their "A" game against a named program that isn't what it was just a couple of years ago. In addition, Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze is 12-2 ATS in his career in non-converence games. Lay the points on Ole Miss.

1 unit on Mississippi -10 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Mississippi Rebels img
7
0
0
28
35
Boise State Broncos
0
3
3
7
13
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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