Mississippi vs. Texas Tech

The Big 12 ranked third in college football's power rankings this season, while the SEC (as usual) was No. 1. Mississippi started 7-0 but comes into this bowl losing three straight. However, don't read too much into the slump. They lost to No. 9 Alabama, 30-24, in a squeaker as a double-digit underdog, plus lost 24-22 in the finale to an 8-4 Mississippi State squad. They also beat No. 7 Kentucky, 22-19, earlier in the season. The offense is loaded with speed and talent, ninth in the nation with 489.6 yards per game. They're second in rushing with 264.2 yards per contest behind RBs Quinshon Judkins (1,476 yards, 5.9 yards per carry) and Zach Evans (899 yards, 6.6 ypc). Ole Miss is 12-3 ATS away from home off an upset loss as a home favorite. Texas Tech has had to use three quarterbacks because of injuries and the trio combined for 25 TDs and 17 interceptions. The Red Raiders went 2-4 against Top 25 teams surrendering 30, 27, 34, 37, 41, and 34 points. The defense was 80th in the country on third down (40.35%) and the team is 11-24 ATS off a win over a Big 12 rival as a dog. T-Tech is also 88-55 OVER the total against winning teams, 42-15 OVER versus opponents that rush for 200+ yards per game, and 30-15 OVER when playing with two or more weeks of rest. Play Mississippi + OVER the total.