This pick was released to clients on December 28, 2023 at 9:29AM ET.
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Mississippi vs. Penn State

December 30, 2023
img12:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Penn State comes off another fine season while still failing to beat either Ohio State or Michigan, but the Nittany Lions destroyed most of their other competition and ended the regular season with wins over Rutgers and Michigan State by a combined 69-6 score. The Nittany Lions are 9-3 ATS this season and they are 8-0 ATS their past eight December games. Also, Penn State is 6-0 ATS after totaling more than 280 passing yards its previous game and it racked up 303 against the Spartans, who were outgained 586-68 and the Nittany Lions had seven sacks. Penn State QB Drew Allar has thrown for 2,336 yards, 23 touchdowns with just one interception although he didn't fare well against the Buckeyes and Wolverines. Allar will have better luck against the Mississippi defense that allows 220.0 passing yards per game. Penn State averages 391.0 total yards of offense, including 186.7 on the ground. Mississippi QB Jaxson Dart has thrown for 2,985 yards and 20 TDs with five picks, but he'll be facing the nation's top defense in total yards allowed. Take Penn State, Max Play

2 units on Penn State -4.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Mississippi Rebels img
10
10
11
7
38
Penn State Nittany Lions
3
14
0
8
25
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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