Minnesota at Michigan

Brady Hoke came to the Big House in 2011 and made an immediate impact with an 11-2 season, but it has turned dark since then as Michigan has struggled. They will be put to the test vs. a Minnesota team that has a strong running game at 236 yards per game. Michigan's numbers look a lot worse than they actually are. They have scored 0 and 10 points in two of their last three games, but out-gained all four opponents on the schedule. They have committed 12 turnovers and are -10 on the season, which is dead last in the FBS. That won't last forever, and it puts value on the plus side of the total as the Michigan offense isn't as bad as the numbers looked, as they have stopped themselves. Michigan has owned this series, and has never had trouble putting up points as the Wolverines have averaged 45 points per game in the last three meetings over the last three years, which is enough to go OVER the top all by themselves here, but they'll get some help. Michigan is 9-4 to the OVER in their last 13 at home, and are getting value here because the turnovers make the offense look a lot worse than what is actual. Play on the OVER.