ULM running back Dawson has amassed nearly 1,000 yards already and in this game can set the all-time UL Monroe career rushing record. This team is good - better than most think - having won and covered three of their last four. This game is a tough one for Middle Tennessee State, especially as a road favorite. Blue Raiders QB Dwight Dasher has been the offense for Middle Tennessee State (60% with 8 TDs to one INT). He's out this week with a knee injury. This is a team that is allowing 33 ppg on the road on way to a losing record. They've won their last three but two of those wins were against much weaker competition - Arkansas State and North Texas. We like UL Monroe to give a good fight here and cover this number.
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