Middle Tennessee State at Liberty University

Middle Tennessee State has a losing record and is winless on the road. They're surrendering 33 points per game over the last four contests and are 8-20 ATS on the road against teams that score 31+ points per game. Liberty does everything well, off a 36-12 rout at Alabama-Birmingham as an underdog. QB Malik Willis (11 TDs, 0 INTs) is a handful, leading the team in rushing with 418 yards and 6.3 yards per carry. Liberty is on a 20-8 spread run, going 12-2 ATS in non-conference tilts. Liberty was a 27-point favorite in its last home game and covered in a 45-17 rout of Old Dominion. Liberty is also 11-3 ATS against pass defenses that allow 58% completions or more, so back the home team. Play Liberty.