Middle Tennessee State at Florida International

Don't be fooled in this one. These two teams are pretty evenly matched and Middle Tennesee State's rushing game is horrific. Getting 6.5 at home against that kind of running game is something I'm jumping all over. Florida International has done pretty well in their first full season in Division I football and I expect it to continue this Saturday. These two teams have identical records, and FIU is at home getting nearly a touchdown? What is up with that? Home underdogs in conference games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 215-137 (61%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. MTSU's problems have come on the offensive side of the ball away from home where they have averaged a measley 250 yards per contest. FIU has been stellar on their home turf which bodes very well. Three stars on FIU plus the points.